ECON2213Dalhousie University Economic Rise of China and India Analysis Background data collection and analysis: 1. Download birth rate and death rate data

ECON2213Dalhousie University Economic Rise of China and India Analysis Background data collection and analysis:

1. Download birth rate and death rate data for China, India, and Canada starting in the year of the 1960s corresponding to the last digit of your B00 number. For example, if your B00 number ends in 5, collect data starting in 1965; if your B00 number ends in 7, collect data starting in 1967. Find data through the year 2017. Use the series Birth rate, crude (per 1,000 people) and Death rate, crude (per 1,000 people).

2. Construct a figure showing the birth rate of China, India, and Canada on the same chart. Construct a second figure showing the death rate of China, India, and Canada on the same chart.

3. For China and India (separately), calculate the correlation coefficient between the birth rate and GDP per capita (use GDP per capita (constant 2010 US$)), and calculate the correlation coefficient between the death rate and GDP per capita, between your earliest year (selected according to the last digit of your B00 number) and the year 2017.

4. Download data on the working-age population and non-working-age population for China, India, and Canada starting in the year of the 1960s corresponding to the last digit of your B00 number. Find data through the year 2018. Calculate the ratio of the working-age population to the non-working-age population. Use the series Population ages 15-64 (% of total) for the working-age population, and the sum of the two series Population ages 0-14 (% of total) and Population ages 65 and above (% of total) for the non-working-age population.

5. For China and India (separately), calculate the correlation coefficient between the ratio of the working-age population to the non-working-age population and GDP per capita (use GDP per capita (constant 2010 US$)) between your earliest year (selected according to the last digit of your B00 number) and the year 2018.

Essay:

In your essay, describe the demographic changes over time in China and India in the birth rate and the death rate. When did the ratio of the working-age population to the non-working-age population peak? Compare the two countries to each other and to Canada, and discuss whether GDP per capita is associated with changes in demography. What do Bloom and Williamson (1998) suggest will happen to the ratio of the working-age to non-working-age population throughout the demographic transition? Based on this, where do you think China and India are in the demographic transition?

Detailed Instructions:

Your essay must have a title, an introduction, and a conclusion. Make sure to define your terms and provide appropriate background information. A suggested essay structure contains five paragraphs:

a first paragraph that briefly introduces the argument you will make in the essay;
and a fifth, concluding, paragraph that briefly describes the main points you have made in the essay.

a second paragraph describing how the birth rate and death rate have changed over time;

a third paragraph describing how the working-age to non-working-age ratio has changed over time;

a fourth paragraph describing and comparing how well the birth rate, the death rate, and the working-age to non-working-age ratio correlate with GDP per capita in each country, including Bloom and Williamson’s predictions;

The maximum length is 500 words plus a two-page data appendix; include a word count at the end of your submission. Include the grading rubric as the first page of your submission. Use Chicago or APA style, and write in 11- or 12-point font, double-spaced, with one-inch margins. Provide a bibliography listing the references you use, including the class PowerPoints if relevant. You must submit a hard copy (in class) and an electronic copy (on Brightspace) by the deadline. Please note that the electronic copy will be submitted to anti-plagiarism software.

Data Appendix:

The data appendix should include enough detail for the grader to determine that you downloaded the correct data and performed the calculations accurately; if not all of your data fits on two pages, you may decide to include only the first and last years of information. Required charts and figures go into the body of your essay; any supplemental charts and figures should be placed in your data appendix.

Penalties:

Late submissions: -10 points per day, starting immediately after 4:05 p.m.
Over 500 words: -1 point for each additional 50 words (e.g., -1 for 501 words, -2 for 551 words, etc).

If you submit only an electronic copy and no hard copy, you will receive a zero on the assignment.

If you submit only a hard copy and no electronic copy, you will receive a zero on the assignment.

No rubric: -1 point.

No data appendix: -2 points.

Data appendix over two pages: -1 point for each additional page.

No word count: -2 points. Assignment 2 Grading Rubric
Student Name:________________________________ B00:_________________
Rubric
Criteria
Title and
Background
Knowledge
(maximum 10
points)
Data and
Research
(maximum 10
points)
Analysis and
Interpretation
(maximum 15
points)
Writing
(maximum 15
points)
Excellent
Good
Competent
Problematic
9
The student has
provided a
descriptive title,
incorporated
relevant
background
information, and
provided clear
definitions of terms
9
The student has
found appropriate
and useful data,
attributes sources
appropriately, and
explains the
methodology
clearly
14
The student
provides a
sophisticated
analysis, provides
convincing support
for ideas, integrates
information fully
14
The student
provides an
attention-grabbing
introduction,
clearly summarizes
and integrates the
findings in a
conclusion, and
writes without
spelling,
punctuation, and
grammatical errors
8
The student has
provided a title,
incorporated some
background
information, and
defined some terms
6
The student lacks
either a title,
background
information, or
definitions
4
The student lacks a
title, provides little
background
information, does
not define terms
8
The student finds
the required data,
attributes some
sources, and
attempts to explain
the methodology
6
The student may
lack some of the
required data,
attributions of
sources, or
explanations of the
methodology
4
The student lacks
the required data,
does not attribute
sources, and does
not explain the
methodology
12
The student
provides a clear
analysis, provides
some support for
ideas, integrates
information to
some extent
12
The student
provides an
adequate
introduction,
summarizes the
findings in a
conclusion, and
writes with few
spelling,
punctuation, and
grammatical errors
9
The student may
lack a correct
analysis, support
for ideas, or
integration of
information
7
The student does
not provide a
correct analysis,
support for ideas,
or integration of
information
9
The student does
not provide an
adequate
introduction or
conclusion, and
writes with some
spelling,
punctuation, and
grammatical errors
7
The student lacks
an introduction or
conclusion, and
writes with many
spelling,
punctuation, and
grammatical errors
Total (maximum 50 points)
Comments:
Score
Dalhousie University
Fall 2019
ECON 2213 / CHIN 2290
Professor T. Cyrus
Emerging Giants: The Economic Rise of China and India
Assignment 2: Demography and Missing Women
Due: Thursday, September 26, 4:05 p.m.
In this assignment, you will find and analyze data on the birth rate and the ratio of the workingage population to the non-working-age population for China and India. You will compare the
countries and whether GDP per capita helps to explain these demographic changes.
Dataset:
World Bank World Development Indicators
http://databank.worldbank.org/data/reports.aspx?source=world-development-indicators
Background data collection and analysis:
1. Download birth rate and death rate data for China, India, and Canada starting in the year of the
1960s corresponding to the last digit of your B00 number. For example, if your B00 number ends
in 5, collect data starting in 1965; if your B00 number ends in 7, collect data starting in 1967.
Find data through the year 2017. Use the series Birth rate, crude (per 1,000 people) and Death
rate, crude (per 1,000 people).
2. Construct a figure showing the birth rate of China, India, and Canada on the same chart.
Construct a second figure showing the death rate of China, India, and Canada on the same chart.
3. For China and India (separately), calculate the correlation coefficient between the birth rate
and GDP per capita (use GDP per capita (constant 2010 US$)), and calculate the correlation
coefficient between the death rate and GDP per capita, between your earliest year (selected
according to the last digit of your B00 number) and the year 2017.
4. Download data on the working-age population and non-working-age population for China,
India, and Canada starting in the year of the 1960s corresponding to the last digit of your B00
number. Find data through the year 2018. Calculate the ratio of the working-age population to
the non-working-age population. Use the series Population ages 15-64 (% of total) for the
working-age population, and the sum of the two series Population ages 0-14 (% of total) and
Population ages 65 and above (% of total) for the non-working-age population.
5. For China and India (separately), calculate the correlation coefficient between the ratio of the
working-age population to the non-working-age population and GDP per capita (use GDP per
capita (constant 2010 US$)) between your earliest year (selected according to the last digit of
your B00 number) and the year 2018.
Essay:
In your essay, describe the demographic changes over time in China and India in the birth rate
and the death rate. When did the ratio of the working-age population to the non-working-age
population peak? Compare the two countries to each other and to Canada, and discuss whether
GDP per capita is associated with changes in demography. What do Bloom and Williamson
(1998) suggest will happen to the ratio of the working-age to non-working-age population
throughout the demographic transition? Based on this, where do you think China and India are in
the demographic transition?
Detailed Instructions:
Your essay must have a title, an introduction, and a conclusion. Make sure to define your terms
and provide appropriate background information. A suggested essay structure contains five
paragraphs:
• a first paragraph that briefly introduces the argument you will make in the essay;
• a second paragraph describing how the birth rate and death rate have changed over time;
• a third paragraph describing how the working-age to non-working-age ratio has changed
over time;
• a fourth paragraph describing and comparing how well the birth rate, the death rate, and
the working-age to non-working-age ratio correlate with GDP per capita in each country,
including Bloom and Williamson’s predictions;
• and a fifth, concluding, paragraph that briefly describes the main points you have made in
the essay.
The maximum length is 500 words plus a two-page data appendix; include a word count at the
end of your submission. Include the grading rubric as the first page of your submission. Use
Chicago or APA style, and write in 11- or 12-point font, double-spaced, with one-inch margins.
Provide a bibliography listing the references you use, including the class PowerPoints if relevant.
You must submit a hard copy (in class) and an electronic copy (on Brightspace) by the deadline.
Please note that the electronic copy will be submitted to anti-plagiarism software.
Data Appendix:
The data appendix should include enough detail for the grader to determine that you downloaded
the correct data and performed the calculations accurately; if not all of your data fits on two
pages, you may decide to include only the first and last years of information. Required charts and
figures go into the body of your essay; any supplemental charts and figures should be placed in
your data appendix.
Penalties:
• Late submissions: -10 points per day, starting immediately after 4:05 p.m.
• If you submit only an electronic copy and no hard copy, you will receive a zero on the
assignment.
• If you submit only a hard copy and no electronic copy, you will receive a zero on the
assignment.
• No rubric: -1 point.
• No data appendix: -2 points.
• Data appendix over two pages: -1 point for each additional page.
•
•
No word count: -2 points.
Over 500 words: -1 point for each additional 50 words (e.g., -1 for 501 words, -2 for 551
words, etc).

Purchase answer to see full
attachment